How to forecast an American’s vote – All politics is identity politics – The Economist

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2018/11/03/how-to-forecast-an-americans-vote

Interesting stuff! Of course, this is not a perfect predictor but they appear to have done a lot of homework through sampling.

The equivalence test: A new way for scientists to tackle so-called negative results

The “…new equivalence test, published in October, flips the traditional null hypothesis framework on its head. Now, rather than assuming similarity, a researcher starts with the assumption that the two groups are different. The burden of proof now lies with evaluating the degree of similarity, rather than the degree of difference.”

https://theconversation.com/the-equivalence-test-a-new-way-for-scientists-to-tackle-so-called-negative-results-106041

How World War I ushered in the century of oil

Seen through this lens of history, petroleum’s road to essentialness in human life begins neither in its ability to propel the Model T nor to give form to the burping plastic Tupperware bowl. The imperative to maintain petroleum supplies begins with its necessity for each nation’s defense. Although petroleum use eventually made consumers’ lives simpler in numerous ways, its use by the military fell into a different category entirely. If the supply was insufficient, the nation’s most basic protections would be compromised.

https://theconversation.com/how-world-war-i-ushered-in-the-century-of-oil-74585

In Alaska, everyone’s grappling with climate change – The Conversation

http://theconversation.com/in-alaska-everyones-grappling-with-climate-change-105032

Coastal villages are washing into the Bering Sea, trees are sprouting in the tundra and shipping lanes are opening in an ocean that was once locked in ice. In Alaska, climate change isn’t a distant or abstract concern.

Few People Want to be Poll Workers, and That’s a Problem | The Pew Charitable Trusts

cal election officials are dealing with a myriad of issues ahead of November’s contentious midterms, not least of which is securing systems from malicious actors. One lesser-known problem that continues to concern them is the national shortage of poll workers.

https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/blogs/stateline/2018/10/22/few-people-want-to-be-poll-workers-and-thats-a-problem

Blockchains won’t fix internet voting security – and could make it worse – The Conversation

http://theconversation.com/blockchains-wont-fix-internet-voting-security-and-could-make-it-worse-104830

Officials and companies who promote online voting are creating a false sense of security – and putting the integrity of the election process at risk. In seeking to use blockchains as a protective element, they may in fact be introducing new threats into the crucial mechanics of democracy.

Blockchain isn’t about democracy and decentralisation – it’s about greed | Nouriel Roubini | Business | The Gu ardian

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/oct/15/blockchain-democracy-decentralisation-bitcoin-price-cryptocurrencies

A snippet:

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Faced with the public spectacle of a market bloodbath, boosters have fled to the last refuge of the crypto scoundrel: a defence of “blockchain,” the distributed-ledger software underpinning all cryptocurrencies. Blockchain has been heralded as a potential panacea for everything from poverty and famine to cancer. In fact, it is the most overhyped – and least useful – technology in human history.